N | Progression | Probability of progression within 36 months (95% CI)a | Hazard ratio (95% CI) | P valuec | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Unadjusted | Adjustedb | |||||
LSIL to HSIL | 245 | 45 | 25.7 (18.3–32.3) | |||
Age | ||||||
20–29 | 59 | 10 | 22.5 (8.4–34.3) | Ref | Ref | |
30–39 | 71 | 17 | 30.6 (16.3–42.5) | 1.30 (0.60–2.84) | 1.30 (0.58–2.90) | 0.520 |
40–49 | 69 | 15 | 32.0 (15.8–45.0) | 1.14 (0.51–2.53) | 1.10 (0.49–2.48) | 0.818 |
50–59 | 46 | 3 | 10.5 (0.0–21.2) | 0.34 (0.09–1.24) | 0.39 (0.11–1.48) | 0.167 |
HPV type at baseline | ||||||
Low-risk | 104 | 8 | 10.9 (2.9–18.4) | Ref | Ref | |
HPV-16 | 49 | 17 | 45.2 (24.8–60.0) | 4.69 (2.03–10.88) | 4.71 (2.02–11.02) | 0.001 |
HPV-18 | 22 | 4 | 20.9 (0.3–37.3) | 2.34 (0.71–7.78) | 2.72 (0.81–9.13) | 0.105 |
HPV-31 | 12 | 2 | 16.7 (0.0–35.3) | 3.08 (0.65–14.53) | 2.87 (0.60–13.68) | 0.186 |
HPV-33 | 14 | 4 | 68.2 (0.0–92.8) | 3.96 (1.19–13.18) | 4.17 (1.25–13.94) | 0.021 |
HPV-45 | 9 | 1 | 11.1 (0.0–29.4) | 1.59 (0.20–12.74) | 2.96 (0.36–24.64) | 0.316 |
HPV-52 | 34 | 7 | 22.2 (6.1–35.5) | 2.64 (0.96–7.29) | 3.42 (1.23–9.52) | 0.019 |
HPV-58 | 51 | 15 | 43.1 (22.0–58.5) | 4.17 (1.77–9.84) | 4.37 (1.84–10.41) | 0.001 |
Type-specific persistent infection | 135 | 29 | 38.8 (22.4–51.7) | |||
Low-risk | 78 | 7 | 12.4 (2.8–21.0) | Ref | Ref | |
HPV-16 | 15 | 8 | 66.6 (20.5–85.9) | 4.01 (1.45–11.10) | 4.24 (1.49–12.10) | 0.007 |
HPV-18 | 5 | 1 | 20.0 (0.0–48.4) | 2.04 (0.25–16.62) | 2.25 (0.27–18.44) | 0.451 |
HPV-31 | 2 | 0 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
HPV-33 | 5 | 3 | 70.0 (0.0–93.7) | 5.95 (1.53–23.09) | 4.56 (1.165–18.04) | 0.030 |
HPV-45 | 1 | 0 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
HPV-52 | 12 | 2 | 9.1 (0.0–24.6) | 1.49 (0.31–7.18) | 1.81 (0.37–8.91) | 0.464 |
HPV-58 | 20 | 9 | 50.3 (17.0–70.3) | 4.23 (1.58–11.37) | 4.18 (1.54–11.33) | 0.005 |